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Global Gear Oil Market Outlook 2025, Forecast To 2034

5 Mar, 2025

What Is The Current and Historic Market Size Analysis Of The Gear Oil Market?

The gear oil market has seen considerable growth due to a variety of factors.
• The market size for gear oil has seen consistent growth in the past few years. Rising from $8.6 billion in 2024 to $8.84 billion in 2025, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been 2.8%. The historic growth has been driven by emphasis on maintenance and durability of equipment, regulatory norms and standards, demand for heavy machinery and industrial equipment, improvements in manufacturing techniques, and the expansion of the automotive industry.

What are the Market Size and Expected Growth Rates for the Gear Oil Market?

The Gear Oil market is expected to maintain its strong growth trajectory in upcoming years.
• The market size of gear oil is projected to witness consistent expansion in the upcoming years. It is estimated to reach a value of $10.18 billion by 2029, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.6%.
The projected growth during this forecast period can be credited to the shift towards eco-friendly lubricants, increased demand for industrial automation and machinery, emphasis on energy efficiency and compliance with industry standards and stipulations. Key trends during this forecast period encompass efforts towards performance improvement, innovative synthetic and high-performance oils, sector-specific formulations, advancement towards digitalization and predictive maintenance, and a focus on maintenance and condition monitoring.

Which Key Drivers Are Propelling The Gear Oil Market's Growth?

The expansion of the automobile sector is anticipated to propel the gear oil market's growth. The automobile sector, which manufactures motor vehicles including their engines and body parts, utilizes gear oil to ensure smooth functioning of the drivetrain and protect important parts of the vehicle's gear systems from wear and heat damage. For example, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, a US government body, reported in August 2023 that total vehicle manufacture in the United States surged to 11.77 million units in July from 10.91 million units in June. Consequently, the blossoming automobile sector is fueling the advancement of the gear oil market.

What Are The Key Segments Within The Global Gear Oil Market?

The gear oil market covered in this report is segmented –
1) By Product Type: Transportation, Industrial
2) By Base Oil: Mineral Oil, Synthetic Oil, Semi Synthetic Oil, Bio Based Oil
3) By End User: Manufacturing, Construction, Agriculture, Oil And Gas, Mining, Other End Users Subsegments:
1) By Transportation: Automotive Gear Oils, Motorcycle Gear Oils, Heavy-Duty Gear Oils
2) By Industrial: Gear Oils For Machinery, Synthetic Industrial Gear Oils, Biodegradable Gear Oils

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How Are New Trends Impacting The Size Of The Gear Oil Market?

Big corporations in the gear oil market are concentrating on innovation of high-end industrial gear oils. These advancements aim to boost equipment efficiency and durability, minimize downtime, and fulfil industry's growing need for superior lubrication, even in harshest conditions. High-end industrial gear oils are essentially top-notch lubricants made specifically for industrial machines and equipment, and they offer enhanced performance in challenging operating environments. These oils incorporate sophisticated additives that provide wear protection, thus guaranteeing the optimal functioning and longer life span of gear systems. As an illustration, in July 2024, China's Jiangsu Lopal Technology Co. Ltd introduced the Lopal G2 Heavy Duty Industrial Closed Gear Oil. These specific gear oils are structured to prolong the operational life of machinery by decreasing wear, a crucial factor in minimizing downtime and maintenance costs. These new oil compositions offer substantial support for heavy-load applications, ensuring consistent performance even in the severest conditions.

Who Are the Key Players In The Gear Oil Market?

Major companies operating in the gear oil market include:
• Exxon Mobile Corporation
• Royal Dutch Shell PLC
• Chevron Corporation
• BP PLC
• Total S.A
• Sinopec Group
• Idemitsu Kosan Company Ltd.
• Fuchs Petrolub SE
• Petrochina Company Limited
• Gazprom Neft PJSC
• Shell International B.V.
• China Petrochemical Corporation
• Phillips 66 Company
• Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
• Castrol Limited
• Liqui Moly GmbH
• Calumet Specialty Products Partners
• Morris Lubricants
• Penrite Oil Company
• Carl Bechem GmbH
• Valvoline Inc.
• Peak Lubricants Pty. Ltd.
• Indian Oil Corporation Ltd.
• JX Nippon Oil & Energy Corporation
• Kemipex Group
• Lukoil Oil Company
• Gulf Oil Corporation Limited
• Pennzoil Company
• Quaker Chemical Corporation

What Are The Regional Insights Into The Gear Oil Market?

North America was the largest region in the gear oil market share in 2024. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the forecast period. The regions covered in the gear oil market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.